Florida
W-L: (51-13) PR = 97.6907Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Illinois State MV ( 5- 5, 91.8) 7- 0 207 H Michigan B10 (35-22, 94.8) 5- 1 207 H Bethune-Cookman SWAC ( 1- 8, 86.9) 8- 0 208 A Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 11- 2 208 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 6- 1 210 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 1- 7, 88.9) 20- 0 211 H Jacksonville ASUN ( 1- 7, 88.9) 11- 1 213 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 6- 3 213 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 8- 5 214 H FIU CUSA (32-18, 92.6) 14- 6 214 H Marshall SB (37-19, 93.9) 14- 4 215 A Washington B10 (36-18, 96.7) 5- 6 217 H North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 7- 3 218 A North Florida ASUN ( 6- 5, 93.8) 10- 0 220 H Middle Tennessee CUSA (22-27, 90.2) 8- 0 220 H Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 10- 0 221 H Longwood BSO ( 0-11, 87.8) 12- 4 221 H Lindenwood OV ( 1- 3, 89.7) 8- 0 222 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris SL ( 2-18, 87.6) 7- 4 226 A California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 8- 0 226 A East Texas A&M SL ( 0- 9, 85.9) 28- 0 227 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 12-15 227 A Loyola Marymount WC (12- 8, 93.8) 7- 5 228 H Oregon State WC ( 2-15, 90.6) 21- 1 307 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 5- 4 308 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 3 309 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 5- 2 313 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 10- 2 314 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 315 A Kentucky SEC (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 320 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 1- 2 321 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 5- 2 322 H Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 3- 2 325 H Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 3- 2 327 H Utah Tech WAC (20-31, 89.2) 2-13 328 H Arizona B12 (36-19, 97.1) 12-11 329 A Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 4- 6 401 A Stetson ASUN ( 1-13, 91.5) 8- 2 403 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 2- 0 404 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 5- 9 405 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 5- 4 408 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 4- 1 410 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 5- 0 411 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 15- 2 412 A South Carolina SEC (32-30, 95.0) 6- 1 415 H Florida Gulf Coast ASUN ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 6 417 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 9- 1 418 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 0- 4 419 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 7- 1 422 A Florida State ACC (52-10, 97.5) 1- 3 424 H UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 7- 0 425 A UCF B12 (40-20, 96.2) 7- 0 428 A Tarleton State WAC (35-22, 91.5) 4- 2 430 H Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 5- 2 501 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 9-10 502 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 507 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 10- 9 508 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 9 515 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 3- 8, 87.6) 12- 0 516 A Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 8- 0 517 H Georgia Tech ACC (35-26, 94.8) 5- 2 522 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 8-10 523 A Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 10- 2 524 H Texas Tech B12 (60-11, 99.2) 7-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Illinois State 7- 0 7 5 1.83
207 H Michigan 5- 1 4 4 0.32
207 H Bethune-Cookman 8- 0 8 12 - -3.57
208 A Kansas 11- 2 9 2 +++ 7.24
208 A South Florida 6- 1 5 4 1.49
210 A Jacksonville 20- 0 20 8 ++ 5.94
211 H Jacksonville 11- 1 10 10 0.46
213 H Marshall 6- 3 3 5 -1.57
213 H Georgia Tech 8- 5 3 4 -0.60
214 H FIU 14- 6 8 6 + 2.21
214 H Marshall 14- 4 10 5 ++ 5.43
215 A Washington 5- 6 -1 0 -1.21
217 H North Florida 7- 3 4 5 -0.63
218 A North Florida 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.85
220 H Middle Tennessee 8- 0 8 8 -0.18
220 H Longwood 10- 0 10 11 -0.60
221 H Longwood 12- 4 8 11 - -2.60
221 H Lindenwood 8- 0 8 9 -0.71
222 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 7- 4 3 9 --- -6.39
226 A California 8- 0 8 6 + 2.38
226 A East Texas A&M 28- 0 28 11 + 2.94
227 H UCLA 12-15 -3 -1 -1.89
227 A Loyola Marymount 7- 5 2 3 -1.15
228 H Oregon State 21- 1 20 8 +++ 6.18
307 H Missouri 5- 4 1 4 - -2.94
308 H Missouri 4- 3 1 4 - -2.94
309 H Missouri 5- 2 3 4 -0.94
313 A Kentucky 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.78
314 A Kentucky 9- 0 9 3 ++ 5.78
315 A Kentucky 9- 0 9 3 ++ 5.78
320 H Tennessee 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.52
321 H Tennessee 5- 2 3 2 1.48
322 H Tennessee 3- 2 1 2 -0.52
325 H Stetson 3- 2 1 7 -- -5.93
327 H Utah Tech 2-13 -11 9 --- -20.24
328 H Arizona 12-11 1 1 -0.36
329 A Arkansas 4- 6 -2 -3 0.72
401 A Stetson 8- 2 6 5 0.56
403 H Mississippi State 2- 0 2 2 0.09
404 H Mississippi State 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.91
405 H Mississippi State 5- 4 1 2 -0.91
408 H South Florida 4- 1 3 5 -1.99
410 A South Carolina 5- 0 5 2 + 3.02
411 A South Carolina 15- 2 13 2 +++ 11.02
412 A South Carolina 6- 1 5 2 + 3.02
415 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 6 3 9 -- -5.78
417 H Auburn 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.32
418 H Auburn 0- 4 -4 4 --- -7.68
419 H Auburn 7- 1 6 4 + 2.32
422 A Florida State 1- 3 -2 -1 -1.47
424 H UCF 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.82
425 A UCF 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.30
428 A Tarleton State 4- 2 2 5 - -3.48
430 H Coastal Carolina 5- 2 3 7 - -3.95
501 A Georgia 9-10 -1 -1 -0.26
502 A Georgia 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -7.26
507 H Auburn 10- 9 1 4 - -2.68
508 A Alabama 1- 9 -8 -2 -- -5.81
515 H Florida A&M 12- 0 12 11 1.15
516 A Georgia Tech 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.89
517 H Georgia Tech 5- 2 3 4 -0.60
522 H Texas Tech 8-10 -2 -1 -1.19
523 A Texas Tech 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 10.29
524 H Texas Tech 7-16 -9 -1 --- -8.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 222 A Texas A&M-Corpus Chris 7- 4 3 9 --- -6.39 327 H Utah Tech 2-13 -11 9 --- -20.24 418 H Auburn 0- 4 -4 4 --- -7.68 502 A Georgia 1- 9 -8 -1 --- -7.26 524 H Texas Tech 7-16 -9 -1 --- -8.19 325 H Stetson 3- 2 1 7 -- -5.93 404 H Mississippi State 5- 9 -4 2 -- -5.91 415 H Florida Gulf Coast 9- 6 3 9 -- -5.78 508 A Alabama 1- 9 -8 -2 -- -5.81 207 H Bethune-Cookman 8- 0 8 12 - -3.57 221 H Longwood 12- 4 8 11 - -2.60 307 H Missouri 5- 4 1 4 - -2.94 308 H Missouri 4- 3 1 4 - -2.94 320 H Tennessee 1- 2 -1 2 - -2.52 428 A Tarleton State 4- 2 2 5 - -3.48 430 H Coastal Carolina 5- 2 3 7 - -3.95 507 H Auburn 10- 9 1 4 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Kansas 11- 2 9 2 +++ 7.24 218 A North Florida 10- 0 10 3 +++ 6.85 228 H Oregon State 21- 1 20 8 +++ 6.18 411 A South Carolina 15- 2 13 2 +++ 11.02 425 A UCF 7- 0 7 1 +++ 6.30 523 A Texas Tech 10- 2 8 -2 +++ 10.29 210 A Jacksonville 20- 0 20 8 ++ 5.94 214 H Marshall 14- 4 10 5 ++ 5.43 313 A Kentucky 10- 2 8 3 ++ 4.78 314 A Kentucky 9- 0 9 3 ++ 5.78 315 A Kentucky 9- 0 9 3 ++ 5.78 417 H Auburn 9- 1 8 4 ++ 4.32 424 H UCF 7- 0 7 2 ++ 4.82 516 A Georgia Tech 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.89 214 H FIU 14- 6 8 6 + 2.21 226 A California 8- 0 8 6 + 2.38 226 A East Texas A&M 28- 0 28 11 + 2.94 410 A South Carolina 5- 0 5 2 + 3.02 412 A South Carolina 6- 1 5 2 + 3.02 419 H Auburn 7- 1 6 4 + 2.32 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Illinois State ( 5- 5, 91.8) 7- 0 -8.12 11.25 0.74 0.39 9.44
3 H Michigan (35-22, 94.8) 5- 1 -5.14 14.23 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 H Bethune-Cookma ( 1- 8, 86.9) 8- 0 -13.04 6.33 -0.74 0.39 4.40
3 A Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 11- 2 -4.71 14.66 0.74 0.39 12.13
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 6- 1 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.39 10.76
3 A Jacksonville ( 1- 7, 88.9) 20- 0 -11.01 8.36 0.74 0.39 7.17
3 H Jacksonville ( 1- 7, 88.9) 11- 1 -11.01 8.36 -0.74 0.39 6.00
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 6- 3 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.39 9.92
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 8- 5 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.39 10.68
3 H FIU (32-18, 92.6) 14- 6 -7.26 12.11 -0.74 0.39 8.96
3 H Marshall (37-19, 93.9) 14- 4 -6.03 13.34 -0.74 0.39 9.92
3 A Washington (36-18, 96.7) 5- 6 -3.16 16.21 0.74 0.39 -0.48
3 H North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 7- 3 -6.10 13.27 -0.74 0.39 9.87
3 A North Florida ( 6- 5, 93.8) 10- 0 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.39 11.04
3 H Middle Tenness (22-27, 90.2) 8- 0 -9.65 9.72 -0.74 0.39 7.07
3 H Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 10- 0 -12.07 7.30 -0.74 0.39 5.17
3 H Longwood ( 0-11, 87.8) 12- 4 -12.07 7.30 -0.74 0.39 5.17
3 H Lindenwood ( 1- 3, 89.7) 8- 0 -10.18 9.19 -0.74 0.39 6.65
3 A Texas A&M-Corp ( 2-18, 87.6) 7- 4 -12.34 7.03 0.74 0.39 6.12
3 A California (17-34, 91.3) 8- 0 -8.57 10.80 0.74 0.39 9.09
3 A East Texas A&M ( 0- 9, 85.9) 28- 0 -14.02 5.35 0.74 0.39 4.80
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 12-15 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.39 -0.22
3 A Loyola Marymou (12- 8, 93.8) 7- 5 -6.10 13.27 0.74 0.39 11.03
3 H Oregon State ( 2-15, 90.6) 21- 1 -9.29 10.08 -0.74 0.39 7.35
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 5- 4 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.39 10.42
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 3 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.39 10.42
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 5- 2 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.39 10.42
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 10- 2 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.39 10.98
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.39 10.98
3 A Kentucky (28-27, 93.7) 9- 0 -6.17 13.20 0.74 0.39 10.98
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 1- 2 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 -0.73
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 5- 2 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 12.32
3 H Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 3- 2 -2.99 16.38 -0.74 0.39 12.32
3 H Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 3- 2 -8.40 10.97 -0.74 0.39 8.06
3 H Utah Tech (20-31, 89.2) 2-13 -10.71 8.66 -0.74 0.39 -2.25
3 H Arizona (36-19, 97.1) 12-11 -2.83 16.54 -0.74 0.39 12.44
3 A Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 4- 6 -0.23 19.14 0.74 0.39 -0.10
3 A Stetson ( 1-13, 91.5) 8- 2 -8.40 10.97 0.74 0.39 9.23
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 2- 0 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.39 12.02
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 5- 9 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.39 -0.81
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 5- 4 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.39 12.02
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 4- 1 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.39 9.59
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 5- 0 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.39 11.96
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 15- 2 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.39 11.96
3 A South Carolina (32-30, 95.0) 6- 1 -4.93 14.44 0.74 0.39 11.96
3 H Florida Gulf C ( 3-18, 89.7) 9- 6 -10.24 9.13 -0.74 0.39 6.60
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 9- 1 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 0- 4 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.39 -1.16
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 7- 1 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 A Florida State (52-10, 97.5) 1- 3 -2.42 16.95 0.74 0.39 -0.33
3 H UCF (40-20, 96.2) 7- 0 -3.65 15.72 -0.74 0.39 11.80
3 A UCF (40-20, 96.2) 7- 0 -3.65 15.72 0.74 0.39 12.97
3 A Tarleton State (35-22, 91.5) 4- 2 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.39 9.20
3 H Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 5- 2 -8.42 10.95 -0.74 0.39 8.04
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 9-10 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 -0.29
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1- 9 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.39 -0.29
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 10- 9 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.39 10.62
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 9 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.39 -0.00
3 H Florida A&M ( 3- 8, 87.6) 12- 0 -12.31 7.06 -0.74 0.39 4.97
3 A Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 8- 0 -5.06 14.31 0.74 0.39 11.85
3 H Georgia Tech (35-26, 94.8) 5- 2 -5.06 14.31 -0.74 0.39 10.68
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 8-10 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.39 -0.28
3 A Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 10- 2 -0.66 18.71 0.74 0.39 15.32
3 H Texas Tech (60-11, 99.2) 7-16 -0.66 18.71 -0.74 0.39 -0.28
------
487.49
|
winning pts = 494.7069 losing points = -7.2147
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------